Description

This analysis provides a forecast of TRX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-15 0.212433 0.235179 0.258557 0.284330 0.311892 0.340432 0.372169
2024-12-22 0.182710 0.213868 0.247123 0.285086 0.327054 0.371863 0.423154
2024-12-29 0.164441 0.201929 0.243237 0.291773 0.346880 0.407152 0.477700
2025-01-05 0.146609 0.188376 0.235788 0.292982 0.359484 0.433771 0.522410
2025-01-12 0.131356 0.176211 0.228575 0.293288 0.370170 0.457675 0.563857
2025-01-19 0.117503 0.164394 0.220629 0.291732 0.377906 0.477681 0.600603
2025-01-26 0.107855 0.156849 0.217065 0.294769 0.390612 0.503240 0.643810
2025-02-02 0.101526 0.152906 0.217456 0.302263 0.408473 0.534883 0.694405
2025-02-09 0.093021 0.145399 0.212736 0.302862 0.417501 0.555705 0.732045
2025-02-16 0.088133 0.142307 0.213358 0.309974 0.434484 0.586205 0.781565
2025-02-23 0.083564 0.139265 0.213738 0.316543 0.450671 0.615751 0.830112
2025-03-02 0.076211 0.131741 0.207639 0.314209 0.455173 0.630591 0.860493
2025-03-09 0.070624 0.126485 0.204467 0.315735 0.464814 0.652233 0.899960
2025-03-16 0.064628 0.120166 0.199430 0.314416 0.470503 0.668767 0.933069
2025-03-23 0.061370 0.117749 0.199703 0.320216 0.485547 0.697299 0.981509
2025-03-30 0.056813 0.112958 0.196272 0.320638 0.493252 0.716333 1.017961
2025-04-06 0.052469 0.108170 0.192554 0.320414 0.499913 0.733941 1.052631
2025-04-13 0.048031 0.102875 0.187776 0.318407 0.503940 0.747990 1.082711
2025-04-20 0.045200 0.100060 0.186572 0.321418 0.514808 0.771074 1.124630
2025-04-27 0.043710 0.099445 0.188682 0.329247 0.532421 0.803246 1.178648
2025-05-04 0.040676 0.095867 0.185967 0.329792 0.539732 0.821640 1.214694
2025-05-11 0.039354 0.095279 0.187925 0.337291 0.556909 0.853415 1.268594
2025-05-18 0.037993 0.094513 0.189528 0.344230 0.573331 0.884283 1.321515